Source: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/oct/15/palestinian-bodies-returned-by-israel-show-signs-of-torture-and-execution-say-doctors
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of 2025, CNN publishes a report or article, that I can search and find in Google News, stating that Palestinian hostage bodies returned by Israel show signs of torture and execution. The report must be accessible on CNN's official website. If no such report or article is published by CNN, the market will resolve to "No."
1,000This should trade way lower, maybe 25-35%.
The story broke in mid-October with AP, Guardian, and Al Jazeera reporting it. CNN hasn't touched it yet, which is telling.
CNN's pattern on Israel-Palestine: they report "allegations" not "torture." They wait for official investigations, not forensic reports from Palestinian authorities. Even when they covered living prisoners released in exchanges, they used careful language about "alleged abuse."
The resolution needs CNN to specifically say bodies show "signs of torture and execution" - that's a high bar. CNN defaults to "both sides" framing on contested claims.
If CNN was going to report this, they would have by now. The news cycle has moved on. Unless there's a major UN or ICC report forcing their hand, I don't see it happening.
Betting NO.
@Velaris Why not bet it lower?
There's a fox news market on the same story: https://manifold.markets/Samaritan/will-fox-news-report-palestinian-ho