Will the Economist endorse the Conservatives in the next UK General Election? | Manifold Markets

closes Oct 1, 2024

Will the Economist endorse the Conservatives in the next UK General Election?

22%

chance

This questions resolves to YES if the Economist endorses the Conservatives, including if they endorse the Conservatives as part of a potential coalition government or if they give some caveat such as endorsing a Conservative vote despite hoping for a hung parliament. Here are the previous Economist endorsements: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_editorial_stance#British_general_elections

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Angola Maldives

bought Ṁ15 of NO

Given how poorly the market has just received Truss' mini-budget, it doesn't seem likely that the brexit-era Conservative party will be returning to favour just yet. Starmer runs a more moderate Labour party than Corbyn, so they may recommend him, or the Lib Dems again.

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 22% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ70 NO from 27% to 20%

sold Ṁ1 NO at 27%

bought Ṁ15 NO from 30% to 27%

sold Ṁ6 YES from 33% to 30%

created limit order for Ṁ12 NO at 49%

filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ5 YES at 23%

created limit order for Ṁ7 YES at 11%

created limit order for Ṁ25 NO at 61%

Angola Maldives

sold Ṁ81 NO from 18% to 33%

bought Ṁ10 YES from 13% to 18%

bought Ṁ25 NO from 16% to 13%

bought Ṁ3 YES from 14% to 16%

bought Ṁ9 NO from 15% to 14%

bought Ṁ10 NO from 16% to 15%

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 16% (cancelled)

Angola Maldives

bought Ṁ50 NO from 23% to 16%

bought Ṁ2 NO from 24% to 23%

bought Ṁ50 NO from 37% to 24%

bought Ṁ20 NO from 40% to 37%

created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 40% (cancelled)

Jonathan Nankivell

bought Ṁ20 NO from 49% to 40%

Angola Maldives

bought Ṁ10 NO from 54% to 49%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ7 YES at 38%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 NO at 54% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ50 YES from 33% to 59%

filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ2 YES at 33% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 99.0% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 95% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ5 NO at 98% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ2 NO at 90% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ8 NO at 97% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 94% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 91% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ23 NO at 80% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 92% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 93% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ2 NO at 96% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ9 NO at 75% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ21 NO at 84% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ52 NO at 74% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ7 NO at 88% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 85% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 32% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 32% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 32% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 32% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 32% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 32% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 32% (cancelled)