Will GPT-5 be publicly released before Ilya Sutskever leaves OpenAI?
26
109
แน€410
resolved May 15
Resolved
NO

This resolves YES if a major successor to GPT-4, referred to as "GPT-5" or another name (rebrand), becomes publicly available before Ilya Sutskever's employment at OpenAI ends.

A "major successor" is defined as a significantly improved model over GPT-4, excluding minor updates, and single domain specialists (e.g., a programming or math product that outperforms GPT-4 in those domains but not significantly otherwise). It also excludes optimized models of GPT-4 with similar quality performance but improved speed or cost.

"Publicly available" means accessible in any commercial manner, including free access, subscription models, external developer APIs, or Bing integration, pending official confirmation.

Examples:

  • GPT-5: YES

  • Chat 5: YES

  • GPT-4.5: NO

  • GPT-4.5-Turbo: NO

  • Roboto: YES (if major release); NO (if minor update or single domain).

Sutskever's departure is effective from the date he ceases employment at OpenAI, regardless of any ongoing advisory or board roles. Announced future departures are not considered until the specified date.

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Wait, I thought Ilya has already leftโ€ฆ

@Sss19971997 Feel free to share credible proof if you have it.

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