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MANIFOLD
Will Trump pardon or commute SBF's sentence?
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2029
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14% is lower than I expected. Does this guy not have the right friends?

@Eliza everyone hates him now

bought Ṁ50 NO

@realTomBayes He's also kinda infamous. So Trump cannot pardon him without making some waves.

@Bucheye Can we backtest this theory?