Will I think MCP servers are a big deal at the end of 2025?
Will I think MCP servers are a big deal at the end of 2025?
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People are talking about them now as if they are, but I'm not sure the trend will continue. I will wait until Dec 31st to resolve. If people are using MCP servers to do cool things or they're on the path to mass adoption, then this resolves YES. If they remain a niche technology (like XMPP or RSS or something), this resolves NO.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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