Background

We're thinking about turning Groups into a more competitive social experience called Leagues, similar to fantasy sports leagues:

• A League is designed to be used with your friends.

• When you create a League, you'll see an invite link for you to invite your friends.

• Each League page will have a live activity feed showing recent trades by members of the League as well as a leaderboard tracking your total profits on included markets since the creation date of the League.

• You can choose to restrict your League to only certain markets or make it open to every market on Manifold.

Resolution criteria

Thirty days after a minimum working version of Leagues goes live on Manifold, I will ask @Austin whether he's satisfied with the growth in new users that we estimate has resulted from Leagues, and will resolve to his answer. (Since I am the main proponent of Leagues, I'm resolving according to his opinion to make this market less biased.)

If we decide not to work on Leagues (or a product sufficiently similar to Leagues) in the next couple of months, this market resolves N/A — even if we decide to pursue Leagues at some later date.