Will at least 3 Chinese cities end hukou restrictions before 2023?
Will at least 3 Chinese cities end hukou restrictions before 2023?
11
160Ṁ4325resolved Jan 2
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Background: Zhengzhou Becomes First Big City to Scrap ‘Hukou’ Restrictions
Resolves YES if there are at least 3 cities in China (with a population of at least 1 million people each) that have ended (or nearly completely ended) previous hukou registration requirements before the end of 2022.
Sep 18, 4:36pm: Will at least 3 Chinese cities end hukou before 2023? → Will at least 3 Chinese cities end hukou restrictions before 2023?
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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