MNX is planning to add a series of prediction markets, mostly but not exclusively touching on the AI economy. Help us decide which prediction markets to list! AI benchmarks, product releases, financials, even politics/geopolitics are fair game (sports is totally out though). We are looking for markets that are interesting, objective/unambiguous, helpful from a AI capabilities forecasting perspective, and likely to generate significant trading volume.
Submit your market idea (it can be a link to another manifold market), and if we end up listing it on MNX before the end of October 2026, the answer resolves YES. If there's a duplicate or vague market, I will resolve it N/A.
1,000People are also trading
@SG PNP27 went live on MNX mainnet on Oct 2 (market id 41, contract 0x0955454c83683f41d6336231ec2ccab6d4c5afac, trading enabled, ~$211 traded). Its description is "Settles to $1 if P vs NP is resolved before 2028", which is the "P=NP resolved before 2028" answer here, so that one can resolve YES. Visible at https://api.app.mnx.fi/v0/markets (just ctrl+f "PNP27").
@SG did you not promise it would open in September on discord? Why do people still need invite codes?
@SG Would you pay out a mana reward for either the person who adds a YES resolving answer to the board, or to the creator of the market the YES resolving answer references?