Resolution criteria
This market consists of multiple options representing potential launch windows. Each option will resolve independently to YES if MNX (https://mnx.fi) officially launches its public mainnet before the specified date (using Pacific Time), and NO otherwise.
Definitions and Sources:
Launch: A "launch" is defined as the public mainnet deployment of the MNX platform, allowing the general public to connect wallets and trade real-money contracts (futures, perpetuals, or prediction markets). Private testnets, closed institutional betas, or testnet versions do not qualify.
Source of Truth: Official announcements from the MNX official X/Twitter account (@MNX_fi) or the main platform website (mnx.fi). Announcements from MNX/Manifold co-founders (such as Stephen Grugett) may also be used to confirm the exact timing.
Background
MNX is a non-custodial decentralized futures and prediction markets exchange designed specifically for trading AI-adjacent assets (such as GPU rental perps, private AI lab valuation futures, and AI capability prediction markets).
Founded by Manifold Markets co-founders Stephen Grugett and Ian Phillips, MNX announced a $6.4 million pre-seed funding round in June 2026 led by Village Global. The platform is built on MegaETH, a high-performance Ethereum Layer 2 scaling solution. As of mid-2026, MNX is running a private beta on testnet, with official public mainnet deployment scheduled for "Summer 2026".
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1,000