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Next ISRO mission:

Congrats!

Edit: Maybe not yet, see Yaroslav's comment below
@SG Resolves Yes

@Mqrius Not yet. The market is about the rover, not the lander. The rover did not touch the moon surface yet.

@YaroslavSobolev Good point

@YaroslavSobolev bros right, I was boutta jump down his throat too

Though I could argue either way tbh. Where is the rover right now? "On the moon", I'd say. There's no condition that it has to be functional. (Though it would've been nice to have conditions specified for this market in general)

@Mqrius Yeah, it “landed”, which is probably the main word that suggests it doesn’t need to actually be functional. Either way would be reasonable

fwiw we shouldn't have to wait long.

The rover Pragyan will emerge from the lander three-and-a-half hours after lander Vikram touched down on the lunar surface near the Moon's South Pole.

The rover Pragyan will first extend its solar arrays and roll out with a wire connected to the lander Vikram. The wire will be snapped once the rover is stable on the lunar surface. It will then start its scientific mission.

@Mqrius A fair interpretation, but then why name the market "Chandrayaan 3 to successfully land a rover" instead of "Chandrayaan 3 lands on the Moon?". But that's not very imporant: the probability of deploying the rover is very high, especially compared to the probability of successful touchdown of the lander, and, as you said, we'll know soon.

Not sure if the probability is 99.3% though. But yeah don't know what SG was aiming for exactly.

@Mqrius Hedge against this market crashing due to a malfunctioning rover deployment here https://manifold.markets/ianminds/will-the-3-chandrayaan3-markets-res ;-)

@YaroslavSobolev Took them a hot minute but there we go :)

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-asia-india-66576580

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DLA_64yz8Ss
Live stream to start in about an hour from now.

@parhizj Imagine those 2m people betting on this market... :-)

@ianminds I dare you to ping ISRO twitter 😂

🙏 Lets gooooooo

ever since i left the city you

Way too optimistic, thank you for the easy money everyone :)

@TimothyBandors lol, right

@TimothyBandors so long, and thanks for the cash

Heh, nice landing! Though it's not a guarantee that Timothy was wrong :P

@Mqrius I'm never ganna financially recover from this

@TimothyBandors Easy mana for your recovery:

/Gen/easy-mana-leave-a-review-for-manifo

/Gen/create-gaming-markets-and-groups

Post a meme or something to r/manifoldmarkets