THE MARKET CHANGE TO ENGINE OUTS HAS BEEN TRIGGERED SINCE I HAD NOT ORIGINALLY COUNTED THE NUMBER OF BURNS CORRECTLY

Yes there are a total of 66 (Corrected from 69) total raptor engine burns planned for Starship flight 8. This is the same trajectories as flights 6 & 7.

33 - Stage 1 liftoff

10 - boost back burn (Corrected)

13 - booster landing

6 - Starship main burn

1 - in space relight

3 - starship landing

All = 66 (Corrected)

To be included towards the count an engine must light/relight and complete its intended burn. Theres some ambiguity as to when exactly certain engines are supposed to shut down e.g. towards the end of the Starship launch burn. I think in these cases previous successes like flights 5/6 can serve as examples and if it looks anything like those within a few seconds that will be good.

If the number of planned engine lights/relights gets changed I will switch this to how many engines will not burn successfully which is really what the question is asking and I think how most will interpret it. For right now sticking with this for the joke. Fingers crossed this doesn't happen, I’ve never heard of this guy Murphy and his ridiculous law.

Example Market Resolutions:

Flight 5*: 0

Flight 6: 66 (corrected from 69)

Flight 7: 55 (corrected from 69)

*flight only targeted 65 (corrected) engine burns because they did not attempt an in space engine burn. This would trigger the above market change.

If you have any questions or concerns feel free to comment otherwise goodluck!

• Update 2025-26-01 (PST): - The market question is now to count engines that will not burn successfully instead of those that do burn successfully. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market Resolution Update:

  • The market now counts the number of unsuccessful burns (engine failures) instead of the number of successful burns.

  • This means that an engine is counted as failed if it does not light/relight and complete its intended burn.

  • All trades previously made assume the same exact number of engine failures as before; the change in language does not alter the underlying resolution criteria.