Will a Chinese AI developer announce a model rivaling o3 performance by February 2025?

Will a Chinese company/organization recreate Sora by the end of 2024?

Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?

Will a US semiconductor fab begin volume production of 3nm chips in 2024?

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

Will a Chinese company introduce a smartphone using a domestically made chip below 7nm in 2024?

Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?

Will TSMC announce any new investment in building a US fab by the end of 2024?