Will Conjecture have dissolved by 2028?
8
170Ṁ1592028
77%
chance
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Resolves yes if the for-profit AI alignment org Conjecture has gone bankrupt or otherwise dissolved by 2028.
Resolves no if Conjecture is still around.
Resolves N/A if Conjecture is purchased / does the "reverse OpenAI" and turns itself into a non-profit / etc
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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