Will GPT-5 launch before 1 January 2025?
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210
Ṁ94kJan 1
5%
chance
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1W
1M
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Question will resolve yes if a product by openai is launched with the name "GPT-5" before 1 January 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Arbitrage: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/in-what-month-will-openai-broadly-r
Slightly different condition because it requires broad public release, while this market does not specify the exact condition. I still don't think that accounts for the 10pp difference.
Slightly different name conditions but arbitrage:
https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025
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