Will the minimum global corporate tax of 15% be able to end tax competition and raise additional sizeable revenue?
Will the minimum global corporate tax of 15% be able to end tax competition and raise additional sizeable revenue?
15
1kṀ3802026
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve YES if it's established through papers/reports of significant researchers/institutions that the minimum global corporate tax of 15% has been successful in achieving its self-established goal.
Will resolve NO if the policy is proven to not be significant or even worse.
Will resolve N/A if the policy is halted/not applied and not sufficient research is done.
Financial Times:
https://www.ft.com/content/191d8388-c5c0-419c-95d6-918df6f09fc5
Key points:
-The US will not be part of this agreement.
-The policy needs to fullfil its general promise and does not need to be beneficial to every country.
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If some significant researchers/institutions say it has been successful, and some say it hasn't, what would the resolution be?
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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