Who will be the first trillionaire? | Manifold

Who will be the first trillionaire?

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3.7kṀ16k

Jan 1

51%

Elon Musk

32%

Other

4%

Larry Ellison

4%

Jeff Bezos

3%

Sam Altman

1.9%

Bernard Arnault

Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

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Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

You should give a list of resolution sources, since including sovereign wealth, stock market fluctuations, property self-valuations etc. make this very chaotic.

Are we discounting heads of state/inherited wealth?

Interesting discussion (2021!)
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/11/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-sam-altman.html

What will you do if there's no trillionaire by 2026?

Do I misunderstand the question? It seems obvious that it's unlikely to be any of the named ones, right?

@manyu why? there's long been speculation that Bezos would become the first trillionaire

I assume we are talking US dollar?

@TeryakiBois yes

People are also trading

When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?

Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?

Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?

Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?

World's first trillionaire named Time Person of the Year within two years?

Who will be the richest person at the end of 2025?

In what year will the first person surpass a net worth of $1 trillion USD?

Will I be a trillionaire by 2100?

Which will be the first $10 trillion tech company?

Related questions

When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?

Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?

Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?

Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?

World's first trillionaire named Time Person of the Year within two years?

Who will be the richest person at the end of 2025?

In what year will the first person surpass a net worth of $1 trillion USD?

Will I be a trillionaire by 2100?

Which will be the first $10 trillion tech company?

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