What will U.S. Federal spending be as a percentage of GDP in 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ62
2031
34%
chance
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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A historical prior suggests 25-30%. I don't expect this market to be able to resolve the typical ~5% fluctuations, so I might have to create further markets on this topic to get a sense of the size of tail probabilities.
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