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MANIFOLD
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
2
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
Dec 31
81%
chance

For two years straight, I hit this goal. But I failed two days ago. Well, I'm back at it! Each month [1] for the rest of the year, https://experiencemachines.substack.com/ must post at least twice.

One post must be a links roundup with at least 10 links; the other post(s) must be at least 600 words long. The market will resolve early if a given month passes without those conditions being satisfied.

I will only buy YES. It's a pretty ambitious goal - see if you can earn some money from my overconfidence.

Reasons to vote NO:

-I failed earlier this year! One bettor made ₦24,933, a 1,531% profit, off of me.

-even when I succeed, it's often down to the wire

-I'm going to bet this market irrationally high

-my substack is not a primary work or life priority

[1] before the end of month (11:59pm) according to the time zone I'm posting from, which will usually be US Pacific Time. Depending on where you are, Substack might show something as having been posted after the end of the month. But if you subscribe (wink wink) you'll be able to know what time the email went out, and bet accordingly.

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