The spirit of this market is "when will Manifold call the 2024 US presidential election?".

Detailed rules:

• When any option on the "Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?" market reaches 90% or above, and remains at 90% or above for at least 160 of the 180 minutes immediately afterwards, this market resolves according to when the option initially reached ≥90%.

• If the election market, with an option at ≥90%, resolves in favor of said option before 180 minutes have passed afterwards, this market still resolves according to when the option reached ≥90%.

• If the election market resolves N/A before this market can be resolved, this market resolves N/A.

• If the election market resolves in another way (e.g., before an option reaches ≥90%), this market resolves according to when the election market resolved.

• All times are in EST, as displayed by the Manifold web UI.

• "The election market" and "the "Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?" market" refer to this market: