Conditional on Donald Trump dropping out or dying, who will win the 2024 US presidential election?
Basic
5
Ṁ2742Dec 18
32%
Kamala Harris
13%
J.D. Vance
4%
Tim Walz
4%
Nikki Haley
4%
Michelle Obama
9%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Gretchen Whitmer
19%
If Donald Trump's death or dropping out of the presidential election has not been credibly announced by November 5, 2024 at 1:00 AM ET, this market resolves N/A, or if Manifold comes out with a better way to handle conditional markets where the condition doesn't happen, it may be handled that way.
Otherwise, this market resolves the same as this market:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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