Conditional on Trump serving time in 2024, who will win the presidential election?
Basic
18
Ṁ1.3k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
32%
Donald Trump
53%
Democrat
15%
Other Republican
Resolves with this market https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-2024-us-presidential-e?r=c3BpZGVy if this other market https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned resolves yes to 2024, N/A otherwise.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
53% chance
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2024?
53% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
53% chance
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Conditional on being nominated by the Republican party, will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
63% chance
Will Donald Trump win the Presidential Election of the United States of America in 2024?
53% chance
Will Donald Trump win 2024 presidential election?
52% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US presidential election?
53% chance
Conditional on being convicted before Election Day 2024, will Trump win the 2024 election?
57% chance