If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will he die in office?
Plus
23
Ṁ1261Nov 6
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he is not elected, this market will resolve N/A.
Note: This market closes on Election Day.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
45% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
28% chance
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
39% chance
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
56% chance
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
19% chance
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
18% chance
Conditional on Trump winning the presidency in 2024, will he be assassinated in office?
16% chance
Will the president elected in 2024 die before inauguration day 2029
25% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
78% chance