[Amplified 100x, read description] Will Donald Trump lose the 2024 US presidential election AND win the popular vote?
Basic
13
Ṁ1709
Dec 18
1%
chance

Resolves YES if this market resolves 0% Trump and this market resolves YES.

If these conditions are not fulfilled, then I will generate a random integer between 1 and 100 inclusive using @FairlyRandom. If it turns out to be 1, this market resolves NO. Otherwise, this market resolves NA.

Betting guide:

This market should be at x/(x+(1-x)/100), where x is the actual probability of the event happening. For example, if you think this has a 1% chance of happening, this market should be at 50%.

Other reference values:

Actual odds 0.1% = Amplified odds 9%

Actual odds 0.2% = Amplified odds 17%

Actual odds 0.5% = Amplified odds 33%

Actual odds 1% = Amplified odds 50%

Actual odds 2% = Amplified odds 67%

Actual odds 50% = Amplified odds 99%

Market design inspired by this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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opened a Ṁ330 YES at 40% order

Ṁ330 YES limit at 40% (actual 0.66%), any takers?

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