Will any prominent Notkilleveryoneists switch sides to e/acc after learning more about machine learning R&D?
7
130Ṁ11662028
1.2%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It has been claimed that Eliezer Yudkowsky and others are unqualified to comment on AI risk, because they do not have a firm enough grasp of the state of the art in AI research at a detailed level.
Will any of them gain such an understanding, and do a 180 degree turn and become effective accelerationists as a result?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will any prominent e/accs switch sides to Notkilleveryoneism after examining the arguments in detail?
74% chance
If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?
68% chance
Which of the following AI pundits will publicly recant the belief they're known for holding before 2028?
Will I no longer identify as a libertarian or neoliberal as a result of an AI convincing me by 2030?
30% chance
Will AI/BCIs/neurotech be sophisticated enough to reverse other people's bad opinions of each other by 2033?
19% chance