Will we have robot housekeepers by 2025?
Will we have robot housekeepers by 2025?
10
130Ṁ283Jan 1
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
These robots could perform tasks like vacuuming, mopping, and dusting. They could also be used to deliver food and drinks, or to help with other household chores.
There are a number of companies that are working on developing these robots, and some experts believe that they could be available within the next few years. However, there are still some challenges that need to be overcome before these robots can be widely adopted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will a commercially available household cleaning robot be released by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?
46% chance
Will there be a consumer robot (cleaning dishes, doing chores, etc) at any price, that is widely available by end 2025?
7% chance
Will I be able to buy a commercial humanoid robot that does useful household labor (e.g. laundry, dishes) by EOY 2025?
8% chance
Will robots become our primary household chefs by the year 2035?
13% chance
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
53% chance
Will I be able to purchase a house robot by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will we see autonomous humanoid farmer robots by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a robot do my laundry before 2034?
69% chance
Will a humanoid robot provide some kind of commercial service to me by 2026?
14% chance