Will there be major global lockdowns before 2031?
Basic
6
Ṁ4272031
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there are major global lockdowns that resemble those that occurred during the covid pandemic, between January 1st 2024 and before January 1st 2031.
In order for this to resolve as YES, a lockdown must have occurred in at least 4 of the following countries before the end date: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
Note that for this to resolve as YES the lockdowns do not necessarily need to result from the same cause (can be pandemic in country A and something else in country B).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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