War of the Three Comedians before 2035?
5
133
แน153แน203
2035
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if the event "War of the Three Comedians" fires before January 1st 2035.
Conditions for the event to be triggered:
For three politically independent countries/regions, the following must be true:
All three have leaders who have past careers in entertainment (panel show hosts, actors, singers, reality TV stars, talk show hosts, ...)
All three are involved in the same significant military conflict (directly or providing military aid)
At least two are nuclear armed and on opposing sides
At least two are in direct military conflict
At least one has seen hostile enemy action on its territory during this conflict
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