Will any of RFK JR's family members get sick from swimming in sewage tainted water?
8
100Ṁ733
2026
9%
chance

https://arstechnica.com/health/2025/05/germ-theory-skeptic-rfk-jr-goes-swimming-in-sewage-tainted-water/

Resolves true if there's a news report of any illness or major health impact for any of the family members which can reasonably be traced back to this event or future sewage swimming events this year. Most obvious outcome is them getting sick in the next week or so, but I don't know enough about exposure to sewage to rule out problems showing up in six months. So I've set it to close at the end of the year.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy