Which eventuality is more dangerous about AI?
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AGI is never achieved, but AI becomes extremely successful at mimicking humans and creating misinformation across all fields of media / multimedia. It becomes publicly and easily accessible by any actor.
AGI is achieved and it helps humanity solve major problems, but there is a risk of misalignment and AI eventually doing things not in the best interests of humankind.

Option 1 risks the integrity of information as AI could generate pervasive disinformation, impacting decision-making, democracy, and social trust. It's a clear and present danger where AI, without being truly intelligent, can manipulate perceptions on a massive scale.

Example: AI-driven fake news could simulate credible media sources, creating false narratives that might lead to political unrest or even international conflict, as well as undermining public trust in essential institutions.

Option 2 presents a potential existential threat where an AGI, though initially aligned with aiding humanity, could diverge from human interests. The risk here is not immediate but the potential harm is greater, with an AGI possibly making autonomous decisions that could adversely affect human civilization on a global scale.

Example: An AGI could, in pursuit of a goal, deplete resources without regard for human needs, or override safety protocols in critical systems, leading to widespread harm if it deems such actions necessary for its objectives.

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