🏅 Top traders

https://www.zwischenzug.gg/p/the-comeback-king
magnus always plays so well after a loss, someone did an limited analysis on this back in 2021

Who tf is this dude “Magnus Carlsen” and why does he win every tournament?

Well done to the top finishers, and @BURNTramenNoOdLeS

@archvenison's calculations paid off handsomely! Never rule out the GOAT, I guess

Well that was a fun final day

@archvenison Did you see the Woodward v Erigasi game? Man, what a game :)

Erigasi's playing Woodward today

@archvenison You do realize he lost today, right?

@Qoiuoiuoiu Yes, he's a whole point back. But there's 3 rounds left in which he has two whites, one against the leader and one against the lowest rated player, who is over 250 elo below him.

(Also, my model spits out 18.7%)

@archvenison Interesting. My reasoning is that Carlsen hasn't played a lot of classical recently.

Also, Carlsen was not playing very clean chess in that game against Van Forest (lichess engine gives 3 blunders and 4 mistakes, and my more skillful friends tell me Carlsen was not playing tiptop chess) which lowers my confidence in his playing ability for this tournament.

Erigasi has already drawn the top two in the tournament, and Abdusattorov has a draw against Carlsen, his most dangerous opponent.

With three games left to play, I don't see Carlsen coming back after losing an entire game. Odds are at least one player will go undefeated.