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Chess: Who will qualify (two) from the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss (Samarkand, Sep 3-16)?
3
Ṁ250Ṁ108
resolved Sep 5
ResolvedN/A
6%
Arjun Erigaisi
3%
Gukesh D
8%
R Praggnanandhaa
9%
Alireza Firouzja
3%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
8%
Anish Giri
17%
Levon Aronian
14%
Vidit Gujrathi
16%
Andrey Esipenko
16%Other



This Market is FLAWED. Please use
https://manifold.markets/Ram_N/chess-who-will-qualify-from-the-202 instead.


The FIDE Grand Swiss 2025 will take place in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, from September 3-16, 2025. It is an 11-round Swiss-system tournament with 116 players in the Open section. The winner and runner-up qualify for the 2026 Candidates Tournament.

Top seeds include Arjun Erigaisi, World Champion Gukesh D, Nodirbek Abdusattorov, R Praggnanandhaa, and Alireza Firouzja (who won the 2021 edition).

This market resolves to the 2 players who finish in the top TWO places in the final standings of the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss.

This market is to predict the TWO players who will qualify -- finishing 1 and 2 in the Grand Swiss. (You can add your own answers as well.)

Resolution source: https://grandswiss2025.fide.com/

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I have returned everyone's mana. This question was flawed. I have re-created the question with better criteria. Thanks, all.

Clearly, I screwed up. I meant to have this question be a "Set" with 2 possible answers, but looks that is no longer possible. Here's how I am making up for it.
1. I have created the exact same question here, but this time as a "Multiple Choice Set" (prop bets type). https://manifold.markets/Ram_N/chess-who-will-qualify-from-the-202

  1. I will resolve this question to N/A in 24 hours and close this question so that all of your mana are returned. I sincerely apologize for this confusion.

    Regards.

Will each correct answer resolve to 50%?

This market resolves to the player who finishes in 1st place in the final standings of the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss. In case of a tie for 1st place, the tournament's tiebreak criteria will determine the winner.

This market is to predict the TWO players who will qualify -- finishing 1 and 2 in the Grand Swiss. (You can add your own answers as well.)

Conflicting description & title.

@Weezing Thank you for catching this! I was trying Manifold's AI-Generated Question! I have fixed it!

@Ram_N And how will you resolve this? 50/50?

@Weezing I screwed up. So I re-created the question as a "SET." Hopefully, that should work.

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