xAI announces own ASIC/XPU for AI workloads by March 31, 2026?
0
1k
2026
50%
chance

xAI has been hiring for custom silicon developers with experience in "designing and refining new hardware architectures" and "simulating training workloads on novel AI hardware architectures."

Google, Meta, and Amazon have all developed or announced custom AI chips. OpenAI recently placed a $10B order with Broadcom for custom chips shipping in 2026

Resolves YES if by 11:59 PM PT on March 31, 2026:

xAI announces they are developing, designing, or have contracted for custom AI accelerators (ASICs, XPUs, or similar custom silicon) for training or inference, through ANY of the following:

  1. Official announcement from xAI via:

    • Press release on xAI website

    • Official xAI blog post

    • xAI official X/Twitter account (@xAI)

  2. Partner announcement from:

    • Broadcom, Marvell, TSMC, Samsung, or other semiconductor company explicitly naming xAI as a custom chip customer

    • SEC filings that name xAI as a customer for custom chip development

  3. Credible media reporting that includes:

    • Direct confirmation from xAI executives or spokespersons

    • NOT speculation or "according to sources" without official confirmation

Resolves NO if:

  • No qualifying announcement by the deadline

  • Only announcements about purchasing existing chips (Nvidia, AMD, Intel, etc. GPUs or TPUs/Trainium/MAIA/MTIA/other existing ASICS etc.).

  • Only announcements about using Tesla's Dojo or other Tesla hardware (must be xAI-specific)

  • If xAI merges with or is acquired by Tesla before the deadline, announcements about Tesla AI chips do NOT count unless explicitly stated for xAI use

  • Quantum / Neuromorphic / experimental computing (must be ASIC/XPU style chips)

  • Vague statements about "exploring options" without confirming active development

Sources:

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy