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MANIFOLD
Will the USMV stay at or under Ṁ300 per share for 1 hour before Aug 2026?
6
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
resolved Jul 20
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if the trade ledger shows that the price of the stock stays at or under Ṁ300 per share for 1 hour before 12:00:00AM ET on Aug 1, 2026 according to the timestamps on the trades.

Staying under the threshold for 1 hour counts. 59 minutes and 59 seconds does not count. For example, dipping under the threshold from a trade at 1:00:00PM and then resurfacing from a trade at 1:59:59PM does not count. Resurfacing at the next second would. Resurfacing at exactly 12:00:00AM ET on Aug 1, 2026 does not count.

If this does not happen by the deadline, resolves NO.

I cannot trade on the USMV, but I can trade on this market. Moderators are empowered to resolve this market if somebody shows verifiable proof of how this market resolves.

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It really was that simple.

@mods I'm not sure if we want to unrank this one. I'm leaning towards yes, unrank.