How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge
11
1.2kṀ2524
2030
2,465 jelly beans
expected
1%
1 - 499
1.2%
500 - 999
7%
1,000 - 1,499
21%
1,500 - 1,999
24%
2,000 - 2,499
33%
2,500 - 2,999
5%
3,000 - 3,499
3%
3,500 - 3,999
1.9%
4,000 - 4,499
1.9%
4,500 - 4,999
1.5%
5,000 or greater

The YouTube channel Veritasium made a community post asking people to guess how many jelly beans are in a jar. Traders are encouraged to submit their own guesses via the link.

See the jar here: https://www.veritasiumjellybeans.com

Outcome will be verified via media produced by Veritasium. If this information is not made public by January 1, 2030, then all market answers resolve N/A.

The Market Creator has no relation to Veritasium nor has knowledge of the correct answer at time of market creation. Market Creator may trade on this market after 1 week of operation or after 10 unique traders have traded, whichever happens first.

Guessing Game
YouTube
Veritasium
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Ṁ1,000
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bought Ṁ2 YES

So strange, I counted and got 10x8x24=1920, but consensus is way above that

@digory I've been watching the thing that shows recent guesses on the site. A lot of people are guessing 69, so "1-499" is clearly undervalued.

reposted

Another wisdom of the crowd market!

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