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Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028?
52
Ṁ1kṀ12k
2028
5%
chance

  • Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria clarification:

    • Market resolves YES if Tim Walz makes a credible declaration to run for President in 2028

    • He only needs to show measurable signs of being serious about running

    • He does NOT need to win the Democratic nomination

  • Update 2026-02-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Formal announcement + credible attempt at raising funds would very likely be sufficient for YES resolution.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Democratic Party
2024 US Presidential Election
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to be clear, this is yes even if he just runs for the democratic ticket, right?

@Macbook yes, all that is needed is a credible declaration from him, and some measurable signs that he is serious. He doesn't need to win the nomination

@Quillist A formal announcement, from him, that he's running for a party nomination. Would that be the deciding point? I mean, not just public appearances that could suggest he's running, but him saying, in a public announcement, that he's running / pursuing the nom?

@BrunoClawfeld Formal announcement + credible attempt at raising funds, would very likely be sufficient.

@Quillist Which would be the trigger though? Raising funds or a formal announcement?

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