AI reliably resolves markets by 2029?
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100Ṁ1992029
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Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for a YES resolution:
The AI's first response must be valid >98% of the time.
The AI should be able to produce a resolution for >85% concluded markets on Manifold.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@WilliamGunn I will resolve yes if there is a method where you can get an AI to output a resolution, and the market owner can select agree/disagree, but the ai's first response should be valid >98% of the time.
@Quillist how will you deal with subjective things?
Also: https://manifold.markets/WilliamGunn/is-it-good-practice-to-ask-a-llm-fo?r=V2lsbGlhbUd1bm4
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