@Quadrifold How does this market resolve if Trump is elected but Biden resigns before the end of his term, so that Kamala is inaugurated and is the 47th President for a brief term? The title and the description are at odds with each other.

if it's the 47th President resolves YES
if Kamala has to replace Biden before the election resolves NO

EDIT: Oops, misunderstood, sorry. We are on the same page here.

I'm not sure we're on the same page here. Abraham Lincoln was the 16th president. When he was assassinated, Andrew Johnson was sworn in as the 17th president. Similarly, if Biden resigns or dies with significant time left before 1/20/25, then Kamala would be sworn in as the 47th president for the remainder of that term, regardless of whether she wins or loses the election. (If she then loses, then Trump would be the 48th president in addition to having been the 45th.)

Technically Biden can win in 2024 and Trump and run again in 2028 and be the 47th president :P :)

@PC Biden is 46th now, next president elected will be the 47th.

@Quadrifold I think they are referring to the closing date

@conradgetty Yes, thanks. And to adjust probabilities appropriately

@conradgetty which closing date it should have? I set Nov 6th

@Quadrifold January 20 2029?

What if he simply/unilaterally declares that he was elected like he did in 2020? And numerous people still believe?

@AdamTreat Facts dont care about the feelings of the four times indicted, civilly liable rapist and failed former president Donald J. Trump.

@conradgetty Just thought it might be prudent to have the resolution criteria specify

@AdamTreat not valid