31
264
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Nov 6
47%
chance

Simple, if Trump get elected resolves YES

Trump not elected, resolves NO

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Technically Biden can win in 2024 and Trump and run again in 2028 and be the 47th president :P :)

@PC Biden is 46th now, next president elected will be the 47th.

@Quadrifold I think they are referring to the closing date

@conradgetty Yes, thanks. And to adjust probabilities appropriately

@conradgetty which closing date it should have? I set Nov 6th

@Quadrifold January 20 2029?

What if he simply/unilaterally declares that he was elected like he did in 2020? And numerous people still believe?

@AdamTreat Facts dont care about the feelings of the four times indicted, civilly liable rapist and failed former president Donald J. Trump.

@conradgetty Just thought it might be prudent to have the resolution criteria specify

@AdamTreat not valid

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