Will @Pykess finish above @Tumbles in this month's League? (Diamond: Pessimistic Sphinxes)
13
156
300
resolved Apr 2
Resolved
NO

At time of market creation I am rank #5 and @Tumbles is rank #8.

Resolves YES if:

  • @Pykess's final ranking after the march league closes is strictly greater than that of @Tumbles

Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolves N/A if Manifold Leagues ceases to exist by market close.

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We both lost big in the horse race, but

@Tumbles lost HUGE

opened a Ṁ6,969 NO at 40% order

@Tumbles Limit order up for believers. Expires in a couple days

Almost every time I check, Tumbles is either promoting to masters or being demoted to plat. With how volatile his position is, I feel like this market is almost a 50/50 lmao

@traders Obligatory propaganda update

@MikeNovak definitely one of the gifs of all time

reposted

Take a good long look, cause this is likely the only time the leaderboards will look like this.

@Pykess If the orange horsey gets first place and the black horsey gets last place I lose 20k (and I still have tons of limit orders up so that number is growing)

@Tumbles So you're telling me... that I should put all my mana down for the orange boi???

@Tumbles Although I was moreso referring to me being above the promotion line. I didn't even continue my tradition of making the market "will I promote" because not even I would buy a single YES share of that.

@Tumbles I think I have a chance, less than 50%, of finishing above you. Mainly due to your net worth and therefore trades being so much larger than mine. One bad trade for you is on the order of several thousand mana, whereas I think the worst trade I've made was around -M200.

Edit: nvm it was -M600 on that stupid ChatGPT market