If Donald Trump is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?
2
Ṁ140Ṁ202027
6.72
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Conditional on Donald Trump being elected, what will the effective federal tax rate be for Amazon in 2026? Market numbers represent percents.
Will rely on reputable sources and averages of reputable sources if there is disagreement. For example for 2021, this article lists Amazon's effective federal income tax rate at 6.1% so the market would've resolved to the "4-7.5" bucket. If the value falls outside the range of buckets, the market will resolve to the nearest bucket.
Resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in the 2024 election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If Joe Biden is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
How high will the US tariff rate get in 2025?
Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
99% chance
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
50% chance
US effective tariff rate in Q4 2026?
-1.1
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
99% chance
Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028?
91% chance