Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
Basic
3
Ṁ702029
43%
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer
8%
Trump wins, Bezos becomes poorer
40%
Trump loses, Bezos becomes richer
8%
Trump loses, Bezos becomes poorer
For simplicity, Trump "loses" if he does not win the election and Bezos will be considered "richer" if Forbes estimates his net worth to be higher than $208.4 billion at any point during 2028; otherwise, he will be considered "poorer." This covers all possible outcomes, including unlikely ones. If Forbes is not in business anymore by 2028, an alternative credible estimate will be used.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump win the 2024 Election?
48% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he win the popular vote?
48% chance
Wil trump win the 2024 election
51% chance
Will Trump’s net worth be greater than Mark Cuban’s on Election Day 2024?
38% chance
If Trump is elected President, will the S&P 500 go up over election week?
54% chance
If Trump wins, will $DJT (Truth Social) be above $40.00 at EOY 2024?
57% chance
Is Donald Trump more likely to win the presidential election if Bitcoin reaches an all-time high before the end of 2024?
55% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, how much will the S&P 500 move in the following week?
Will Trump be President at any point in 2029?
40% chance
Will Jeff Bezos endorse Trump for the 2024 presidential election?
11% chance