Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2026?
7
Ṁ390Ṁ123
Jan 2
37
expected

Question assumes a single filer, is based on earned income (not investment income or capital gains), and includes any relevant surtaxes. For example, with 2022 tax rates this would resolve to 37.9 (37% income tax rate + 0.9% additional Medicare surtax).

Economics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
predictedLOWER

Is this for taxes filed in 2026 (but earned income in 2025) or for earned income in 2026, filed in 2027?

@wilsonkime Earned income in 2026

People are also trading

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2033?
39
Will long-term capital gains tax rate (federal) be increased in the US by the end of 2026?
10% chance
If Joe Biden is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2026?
15
If Donald Trump is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?
At what income level will the marginal tax rate reach 37% in 2030?
390k
Top US income tax bracket in 2050
50% chance
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2027?
15
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2024?
16
What will the US top 1% post-tax/transfer income share be in 2025?
17