Will SCOTUS intervene directly in Texas redistricting before Nov 2026?
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This market resolves YES if the U.S. Supreme Court (SCOTUS) directly intervenes in Texas congressional redistricting before November 1, 2026. "Directly intervenes" includes:
Issuing a ruling on any Texas redistricting case (whether on merits, emergency appeals, or shadow docket orders).
Taking up (granting certiorari on) any redistricting case specific to Texas.
Issuing an injunction, stay, or order that materially alters Texas redistricting processes or maps before Nov 2026.
Denying certiorari or declining to hear a case does not count as intervention. Lower federal or state court rulings do not count unless SCOTUS directly acts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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