If the French government faces a new no-confidence vote before July 2025, will it succeed?
3
100Ṁ55
Jul 2
58%
chance

Resolves Yes if the National Assembly submits a formal no-confidence motion, debates it, and the vote passes. Resolve No if the vote fails to pass. Resolves N/A if there are zero new no-confidence votes before July, 2025.

Politics
Europe
France
french politics
EU politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will François Bayrou’s government face a successful vote of non-confidence before June 2025?
35% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
3% chance
Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?
52% chance
Will a national referendum take place in 2025 in France?
54% chance
Will there be a successful non-confidence vote in the Canadian Parliament before the next general election in Oct2025
13% chance
Will France become more authoritarian in 2025?
45% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2025?
78% chance
Will there be a 6th Republic in France before 2050?
43% chance
Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?
29% chance
Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
10% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy