MANIFOLD
How many seats will the Greens win in the 2025 Australian Federal Election?
24
Ṁ100Ṁ6.6k
resolved May 20
100%99.6%
1-4
0.3%
0 seats
0.0%
5-10
0.0%
11+

  • Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - This market pertains to seats won in the House of Representatives only.

    • Seats won in the Senate are not included.

Market context
Elections
Elections: World
Australia
Australian Politics
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opened a Ṁ34,000 YES at 50% order

@SCM I put a limit order up if you'd like to bet your whole balance!

Expires in a few hours but I'll put it up again if things haven't changed

bought Ṁ300 YES

@chrisjbillington I reckon I've bet enough, but I'll do another 300 for good measure hehe

FYI, this is not for the senate.

I hope the implication here is in the house.

https://manifold.markets/GamblingGamer/if-adam-bandt-loses-his-seat-who-wi?r=R2FtYmxpbmdHYW1lcg

bought Ṁ10 YES

Wait a second if they get 5 seats how does this resolve? Shouldn't this N/A

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