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Will at least 10 people die from Iranian strikes on Israel before September 2024?
101
Ṁ1kṀ50k
resolved Aug 31
Resolved
NO

Strikes on Israelis outside of Israel doesn't count. For the purpose of this question, Israel's borders are defined by the internationally recognized border plus the Golan Heights.

Strikes by Iranian proxies (such as Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthies) doesn't count.

Market context
Iran
Middle East
Israel
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Israel-Hamas Conflict
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Relevant market: https://manifold.markets/Lemming/will-iranproxies-will-bomb-major-ci?r=TGVtbWluZw

I'm curious as to what no holders are thinking @Dynd

Iran is a paper tiger and their last “attack” was laughable. I don’t expect serious casualties if any.

Not up to date with the history. Looks like you’re prob gonna be right but what was their last attack?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_strikes_against_Israel

When will Iran retaliate?

https://manifold.markets/Lemming/by-which-day-will-iran-directly-att?r=TGVtbWluZw

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