Will Labour form a 2 term government?
Basic
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chance

Labour a very likely to win the July 2024 general election. But will they win the one after that?

Resolves YES if both (1) after the July 2024 there is a Labour government, and (2) the same is true of the general election after that.

Notes:

(a) if there is a minority government, if is the party of the PM that counts

(b) if there are multiple PMs in a parliament, it is the first one who counts, with the exception that it is a hung parliament and the sitting PM lasts less than 28 days after the general election (as happened in 2010 when Brown remained PM for 5 days after the GE).

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