
Will the U.S. have a Republican president before 2038?
17
1kṀ1301resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES once a Republican POTUS is inaugurated. Resolves NO if it doesn't happen before 2038.
Based on this prediction: https://manifold.markets/duck/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres#fFZocemgT7KAAxPPZ54r (with the date changed to 2038 because the last president before 2040 will almost certainly be inaugurated in 2037).
Kudos to @RobertCousineau for giving me the mana to make this market after I spent all mine on election markets that haven't resolved yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ21 | |
2 | Ṁ16 | |
3 | Ṁ10 | |
4 | Ṁ5 | |
5 | Ṁ5 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US have a President not nominated by either Republican or Democratic party by 2050?
11% chance
Will a Republican be elected president in 2028?
43% chance
Which people will be elected U.S. president before 2033?
Will a Republican win Washington for President by 2050?
25% chance
Will a U.S. President die in office before 2034?
31% chance
Will a Republican win D.C. for President by 2050?
10% chance
Will a Republican win Connecticut for President by 2050?
44% chance
Will there be another non-white President of the United States before the end of 2032?
32% chance
Will a Republican win New York for President by 2050?
33% chance
Will a Republican win Maine for President by 2050?
50% chance