MANIFOLD
Will a Republican win Connecticut for President by 2050?
3
Ṁ90Ṁ30
2050
44%
chance

Resolves YES if a Republican wins Connecticut in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Republicans and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

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