Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will a Republican win New York for President by 2050?
5
Ṁ130Ṁ64
2050
30%
chance

Resolves YES if a Republican wins New York in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Republicans and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!